Demand Planner

About Us

Orveon is a new kind of beauty company launched in December 2021 as the result of acquiring three unique brands - bareMinerals, BUXOM, and Laura Mercier. With 1,600 employees in 22 countries, we're a truly global business with a presence in all key geographies. Our headquarters are in New York, with additional locations in major cities worldwide. We are backed by Advent International, one of the world's largest and most successful private equity firms, well known for their investments in Lululemon and Olaplex.

We are embarking on a powerful shift: To change how the world thinks about beauty. We are a collective of premium and prestige beauty brands committed to stark honesty, co-creation, and making a sustainable cultural impact. We are looking for the best talent to join us on that journey. Let's face forward together!

About the Role

Responsibilities

• Demand Planning
  • Collaborate with key stakeholders and cross-functional partners to lead the monthly item level sell-in forecast generation, enrichment & review processes for a Brand and Business category.
  • Lead the statistical forecasting process for designated portfolio.
  • Responsible for the development of the SKU level 24-month operational volume forecast by collaborating and aligning with cross-functional partners and the global demand team.
  • Build capability & mastery to drive continuous improvement in forecast processes, methodologies, and key demand planning performance metrics.
• Integrated Business Planning
  • Support the Demand Review step of the S&OP process. Collaborate with cross-functional partners, supply chain, and with BU Business Development directors and/or key retail/distributor partners to ensure alignment on a monthly "consensus" forecast with a 24-month horizon.
  • Support the SOE process collaborating closely with sales, operations, and other cross-functional teams to provide forecast insights in the 0-6-month horizon to optimize fill rate and sales.
• Master Data
  • Manage portfolio changes and the integrity of Blue Yonder master data to support statistical modeling, life cycle management, and inventory/performance optimization.

Primary Responsibilities

• Demand Planning
  • Provide item level forecasting for brand/channel portfolio, ensuring promo inputs from the planning process are integrated into the volume plan.
  • Review and release of the statistical forecast with history cleansing, factoring in sales trend, cannibalization, promotions, events, channel inventory, distribution changes, marketing events.
  • Ensure statistical forecasting is leveraged as a base for the volume planning process - definition & review of model parameters.
  • Share demand trends, key deviations and highlight volume risks and opportunities.
  • Support Marketing in Newness/New Product volume planning, forecast change management & postmortem performance analysis.
  • Collaborate with supply & deployment planning to ensure stock availability and meet service level targets.
  • Drive improved performance across all Demand Planning KPI's (MAPE/BIAS) including root cause analysis and action plan development.
  • Support life cycle management - including regional phase in-phase out, discontinuation.
  • Support local Excess and Obsolete action planning.
  • Ad hoc reporting creation in Blue Yonder and analysis to maximize forecast accuracy.
• S&OP
  • Support Demand Review step of the S&OP process collaborating with sales, marketing, and finance teams to ensure reconciliation & alignment of the demand plan.
  • Communicate recommended forecast changes and actionable demand insights in preparation for monthly alignment meetings and pre-consensus.
  • Review & analyze the 90-day forecast versus actuals and weekly pacing to highlight changes and trends in support of the weekly SOE process.
• Master Data
  • Maintenance of Blue Yonder Demand Planning books.
  • Manage the integrity of master data to support life cycle management and demand planning performance optimization.

Key Stakeholders

• Internal:
  • CRO, BU Unit leaders, Marketing, Channel Sales, Sales administration, and Finance.
  • Supply Chain Team & functional leads, New Product Development, External Manufacturing Operations.
• External:
  • Key Customers & distributors.
  • Consultants and IT partners.

Key Metrics

• Forecast Accuracy & BIAS - Forecast Value Add.
• Forecast accuracy for core, promotional, and launch (1-month WMAPE lag 4).

Qualifications

• +3 years' work experience in Supply Planning, CPFR, Finance, Demand Planning, or related field.
• Strong knowledge of best-in-class commercial forecasting methods & tools in FMCG industry.
• Experience in statistical forecasting (Blue Yonder preferred).
• Understanding & experience of best practices in S&OP / IBP.
• Analytical and self-motivated with critical thinking mindset.
• Ability to quickly adapt in a highly collaborative environment, a team player.
• Demonstrated ability to manipulate large raw data into reporting that is intuitive & impactful.
• Ability to engage, influence and collaborate with key stakeholders & senior leadership.
• Advanced MS Excel skills, and proficiency in MS Office.
• 4-year bachelor's degree required in related field.
• Fluency in English a must (written and spoken).
• IBF or APICS certification, preferred.